
Case Study
Synthetic/Sustainable Aviation Fuel Mapping
An in-depth study exploring Scotland’s capabilities, opportunities, and challenges in developing a sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) supply chain to support aviation sector decarbonisation.
PROJECT BACKGROUND
This study investigated the interest in, and capability of, industry and research organisations in Scotland to support the adoption of synthetic/sustainable aviation fuels (SAF), which is seen by many as the first step towards decarbonising the aviation sector.
The study was commissioned by Scottish Enterprise and was delivered between September 2022 and March 2023.
AIMS & OBJECTIVES



OUR APPROACH
This study had four key phases:
- Defining the global market opportunity through identifying and assessing different government and corporate strategies as well as major research programmes
- Mapping relevant Scottish capabilities in terms of supply and value chain companies and supporting research and technology development (RTD) activities in industry and academia
- Interviewing stakeholders in industry, academia and other relevant organisations in Scotland, the rest of the UK and abroad to understand their activities and (potential) contribution to SAF production and supply within Scotland
- Analysis of the above research to characterise the Scottish supply and value chains that could support the delivery of 100% SAF blends and formulate options to support and strengthen activity within Scotland
DELIVERY TEAM
OUTPUTS AND IMPACTS
The study engaged with 45 individuals from 37 different organisations, including those developing, blending and supplying conventional aviation fuels (CAF) and/or SAF, aircraft manufacturers, airlines, airports, researchers and other stakeholders from the public and private sectors.
Key findings were:
- Most stakeholders believe that SAF will be essential in the period to 2050 (and beyond) to decarbonise the aviation sector, because it can directly substitute for CAF
- There are many obstacles to developing SAF, principally the cost to build new plants (£500M to £1B to build a 500kt p.a. plant) and access to feedstocks
- There is widespread opinion that the UK, as a whole, is not doing enough to ensure that it exploits the potential economic benefits from SAF
- Clarity is needed on how the Scottish and UK Governments can support the adoption of SAF, e.g., financially, through a Contracts for Difference approach
- There is recognition that Scotland has significant strengths to support SAF production, including abundant renewable energy together with plans for green hydrogen production and carbon capture utilisation and storage (CCUS)
- Significant work is required to connect the different players within the potential SAF supply and value chains
- SAF production is already happening elsewhere in the globe and there is a short window of opportunity to do so in Scotland
A SWOT analysis was prepared and a number of actions recommended for the public sector to take that will exploit strengths and opportunities, and address threats and weaknesses. The recommendations made will be explored in further dialogue and discussion with industry.
Access to the full report can be found here.